Simulación multiagente para analizar el comportamiento exportador de las PYMES: un modelo basado en NetLogo

Marlene Sarahi Domínguez-Fernández; Geovina Yamileth Martínez

doi:10.58763/rc2025497

Autores/as

Marlene Sarahi Domínguez-Fernández Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Honduras. Comayagua, Honduras https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9394-8225
Geovina Yamileth Martínez Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Honduras. Comayagua, Honduras https://orcid.org/0009-0005-9738-6636

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.58763/rc2025497

Palabras clave:

Comercio internacional, Competencia económica, experimento, pequeña empresa

Resumen

Introducción: El estudio analiza el comportamiento exportador de las PYMEs (pequeñas y medianas empresas) en Honduras utilizando un enfoque de simulación multiagente con la plataforma NetLogo. El objetivo principal es comprender cómo las dinámicas internas y externas influyen en las decisiones exportadoras de estas empresas. Metodología: El modelo de simulación incluye factores como las redes comerciales internacionales, las barreras arancelarias y las políticas de apoyo gubernamental, aspectos cruciales para la competitividad de las PYMES en mercados internacionales. Resultados: A través de experimentos computacionales, se modelan las interacciones entre las PYMES y su entorno exportador, destacando la importancia de las relaciones comerciales y el acceso a redes internacionales como factores determinantes en el éxito de las exportaciones. Además, la intervención institucional se muestra como un catalizador clave, con políticas públicas que facilitan la integración de las PYMES en mercados internacionales. Conclusiones: el estudio sugiere que las PYMES que cuentan con un mayor acceso a redes comerciales y un apoyo institucional robusto tienen una ventaja competitiva significativa, logrando un mejor desempeño en los mercados globales. Estos hallazgos poseen implicaciones para el apoyo en el planteamiento de políticas públicas, de estrategias que promuevan la internacionalización de las empresas hondureñas.

Métricas

Cargando métricas ...

Citas

Antelmi, A., Cordasco, G., D’Ambrosio, G., De Vinco, D., & Spagnuolo, C. (2022). Experimenting with Agent-Based Model Simulation Tools. Applied Sciences, 13(1), 13. https://doi.org/10.3390/app13010013

Axtell, R. L., & Farmer, J. D. (2025). Agent-Based Modeling in Economics and Finance: Past, Present, and Future. Journal of Economic Literature, 63(1), 197–287. https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.20221319

Bai, W., Johanson, M., Oliveira, L., & Ratajczak-Mrozek, M. (2021). The role of business and social networks in the effectual internationalization: Insights from emerging market SMEs. Journal of Business Research, 129, 96–109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2021.02.042

Caputo, F., Fiano, F., Riso, T., Romano, M., & Maalaoui, A. (2022). Digital platforms and international performance of Italian SMEs: an exploitation-based overview. International Marketing Review, 39(3), 568–585. https://doi.org/10.1108/IMR-02-2021-0102

Chaudhuri, R., Vrontis, D., & Chatterjee, S. (2024). External environment and internal dynamics of “born global”: strategic and operational firm performance. Management Decision, 62(1), 274–300. https://doi.org/10.1108/MD-02-2023-0168

Cho, H. J., Jin, B. E., & Shin, D. C. (2023). Do contingencies matter between organizational capabilities and SME export performance? Review of International Business and Strategy, 33(4), 605–626. https://doi.org/10.1108/RIBS-12-2021-0163

Cincotti, S., Raberto, M., & Teglio, A. (2022). Why do we need agent-based macroeconomics? Review of Evolutionary Political Economy, 3(1), 5–29. https://doi.org/10.1007/s43253-022-00071-w

Dorasamy, N., & Kikasu, E. T. (2024). SMEs’ Information Infrastructure and Access to Finance. En SMEs Perspective in Africa (pp. 121–166). Springer Nature Switzerland. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-69103-4_7

Felzensztein, C., Saridakis, G., Idris, B., & Elizondo, G. P. (2022). Do economic freedom, business experience, and firm size affect internationalization speed? Evidence from small firms in Chile, Colombia, and Peru. Journal of International Entrepreneurship, 20(1), 115–156. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10843-021-00303-w

Flache, A., & De Matos Fernandes, C. A. (2021). Agent-based computational models. En Research Handbook on Analytical Sociology (pp. 453–473). Edward Elgar Publishing. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781789906851.00033

Fredrich, V., Gudergan, S., & Bouncken, R. B. (2022). Dynamic Capabilities, Internationalization and Growth of Small- and Medium-Sized Enterprises: The Roles of Research and Development Intensity and Collaborative Intensity. Management International Review, 62(4), 611–642. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11575-022-00480-3

Ghafoorpoor Yazdi, P., Azizi, A., & Hashemipour, M. (2023). Agent-Based Control System for SMEs—Industry 4.0 Adoption with Lean Six Sigma Framework. En Emerging Trends in Mechatronics (pp. 1–102). Springer Nature Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-7775-5_1

Gkypali, A., Love, J. H., & Roper, S. (2021). Export status and SME productivity: Learning-to-export versus learning-by-exporting. Journal of Business Research, 128, 486–498. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2021.02.026

Gress, D. R., & Kalafsky, R. V. (2022). Staffing Considerations and International Trade Fairs for Korean SME Exporters and Innovators. Asian Journal of Business Research, 12(1), 21–38. https://doi.org/10.14707/ajbr.220118

Johanson, M., & Oliveira, L. (2024). The Performance of Decision-Making Strategies in SME Internationalization: The Role of Host Market’s Institutional Development. Management International Review, 64(2), 303–335. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11575-024-00534-8

Karami, M., Wooliscroft, B., & McNeill, L. (2023). Effectual networking capability and SME performance in international B2B markets. Journal of Business & Industrial Marketing, 38(12), 2655–2672. https://doi.org/10.1108/jbim-01-2022-0020

Kazantsev, N., Pishchulov, G., Mehandjiev, N., Sampaio, P., & Zolkiewski, J. (2022). Investigating barriers to demand-driven SME collaboration in low-volume high-variability manufacturing. Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, 27(2), 265–282. https://doi.org/10.1108/scm-10-2021-0486

Martins, R., Farinha, L., & Ferreira, J. J. (2023). SMEs internationalisation process: from success to insolvency, from rebirth to re-internationalisationProceso de internacionalización de las PYME: del éxito a la insolvencia, del renacimiento a la reinternacionalizaciónProcesso de internacionalização das PME: do sucesso à insolvência, do renascimento à re-internacionalização. Management Research, 21(4), 419–439. https://doi.org/10.1108/MRJIAM-09-2022-1344

McKee, S., Sands, S., Pallant, J. I., & Cohen, J. (2023). The evolving direct-to-consumer retail model: A review and research agenda. International Journal of Consumer Studies, 47(6), 2816–2842. https://doi.org/10.1111/ijcs.12972

Mendy, J., Rahman, M., & Bal, P. M. (2020). Using the “best-fit” approach to investigate the effects of politico-economic and social barriers on SMEs’ internationalization in an emerging country context: Implications and future directions. Thunderbird International Business Review, 62(2), 199–211. https://doi.org/10.1002/tie.22119

Olivares, J. V, Saiz, C., Torró, L., & Zabalza, J. (2020). The internationalisation of family smes in the valencian region: The growing role played by Latin America, 1980-2018. Journal of Evolutionary Studies in Business, 5(2), 115–149. https://doi.org/10.1344/jesb2020.2.j078

Ong, X., Freeman, S., Goxe, F., Guercini, S., & Cooper, B. (2022). Outsidership, network positions and cooperation among internationalizing SMEs: An industry evolutionary perspective. International Business Review, 31(3). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ibusrev.2021.101970

Philippi, C., Bobek, V., Horvat, T., Maček, A., & Justinek, G. (2020). Internationalisation of an Austrian SME with a sales agent to Mexico and the USA in the automotive sector. International Journal of Globalisation and Small Business, 11(1), 39–64. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJGSB.2020.105582

Smallbone, D., Saridakis, G., & Abubakar, Y. A. (2022). Internationalisation as a stimulus for SME innovation in developing economies: Comparing SMEs in factor-driven and efficiency-driven economies. Journal of Business Research, 144, 1305–1319. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2022.01.045

Susanty, A., Puspitasari, N. B., & Fachreza, A. (2023). Measuring the performance of SMEs during the pandemic situation using system dynamic. Kybernetes, 52(7), 2538–2567. https://doi.org/10.1108/k-09-2022-1206

Urban, W., Krot, K., & Tomaszuk, A. (2023). A cross-national study of internationalisation barriers with reference to SME value chain. Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, 18(2), 523–549. https://doi.org/10.24136/eq.2023.016

Weerawardena, J., Salunke, S., Knight, G., Mort, G. S., & Liesch, P. W. (2020). The learning subsystem interplay in service innovation in born global service firm internationalization. Industrial Marketing Management, 89, 181–195. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.indmarman.2019.05.012

Xu, S., He, J., Morrison, A. M., De Domenici, M., & Wang, Y. (2022). Entrepreneurial networks, effectuation and business model innovation of startups: The moderating role of environmental dynamism. Creativity and Innovation Management, 31(3), 460–478. https://doi.org/10.1111/caim.12514

Yuana, R., Prasetio, E. A., Syarief, R., Arkeman, Y., & Suroso, A. I. (2021). System Dynamic and Simulation of Business Model Innovation in Digital Companies: An Open Innovation Approach. Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity, 7(4), 219. https://doi.org/10.3390/joitmc7040219