Opciones Reales y su aplicación en proyectos de energía renovable. Revisión de estado del arte
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.58763/rc202349Palabras clave:
energía renovable, incertidumbre, inversión, opciones reales, simulaciónResumen
El uso de fuentes de energía renovables, como la energía eólica, solar, entre otras, viene en crecimiento, especialmente los últimos años. El objetivo principal del presente estudio consistió en una revisión de literatura sobre enfoque de opciones reales para la evaluación de la viabilidad de invertir en la producción de energías y sus derivados. Se analizaron treinta publicaciones con la temática mencionada, contenidas en el gestor bibliográfico Mendeley Reference Manager, que fueron categorizadas de acuerdo a su propósito en siete grupos: 1) Evaluación del proyecto o inversión de generación de energía renovable, 2) Evaluación del proyecto o inversión de generación de energía no renovable, 3) Evaluación de subastas de energía, carteras e inversiones en el mercado de energía, 4) Evaluación de tecnologías de energía renovable, 5) Evaluación del impacto de la políticas de regulación en proyectos de energía renovable, 6) Evaluación de la transición a generación de energía renovable y 7) Evaluación del diseño, tamaño y ubicación de parques eólicos. Se identificaron nueve tipos de opciones: 1) Esperar, 2) Retrasar, 3) Anticipar, 4) Ampliar, 5) Ejercer, 6) Rechazar, 7) Abandonar, 8) Expandir y 9) Conmutar. Además, se las auscultaron las técnicas y modelos aplicados para evaluar la opción y simular las veintinueve incertidumbres, agrupadas en ocho categorías, consideradas en las investigaciones. En el futuro, se requiere aumentar los estudios con enfoque de opciones reales para evaluar proyectos de energía renovable, bajo incertidumbres, aplicando nuevas técnicas de evaluación, que permita valorar y establecer estrategias flexibles.
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Derechos de autor 2023 Benjamín Murgas Téllez, Alvin Arturo Henao-Pérez, Luceny Guzmán Acuña
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Este artículo se distribuye bajo la licencia Creative CommonsReconocimiento-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0 Internacional. A menos que se indique lo contrario, el material publicado asociado se distribuye bajo la misma licencia.
